Direktlänk till inlägg 11 januari 2011

Undvik krig så länge det går

Av Henry Kasolrer - 11 januari 2011 00:42

Valet i Elfenbenskusten för en månad sen, slutade i katastrof. Valets förlorare, den sittande presidenten Laurent Gbagbo, vägrar avgå. Valets segrare, Alasanne Ouattara sitter nu på ett hotell i den tidigare huvudstaden Abidjan skyddad av FN-trupper, medan Gbagbo har fortsatt kontroll över landets militär.

Gbagbo hävdar att han vunnit valet sen sju valdistrikt underkänts i det muslimska norr, Ouattaras starka fäste. Men ingen i omvärlden, vare sig FN eller den Afrikanska Unionen, stöder den versionen. I stället talas nu 15 västafrikanska ledare mer eller mindre öppet om militärt våld som en lösning om Gbagbo vägrar avgå.

Problemet med hot som dessa är att de riskerar att bli verklighet därför att de måste bli verklighet om inte de som hotar ska ses som förlorare. Vi såg samma spel i Europa 1999, när Nato till sist hotat så länge att bombkriget mot Kosovo och Jugoslavien till sist sågs som nödvändigt för att inte tappa ansiktet, även om de flesta nog såg ett bombkrig som en icke-lösning på en etnisk konflikt. Bättre hade varit att tvinga fram fredssoldater.

Den svenske Socialdemokraten Pierre Schori var 2005-07 FN:s sändebud i landet. Schori jämför i gårdagens DN Gbagbo med Jugoslaviens Slobodan Milosevic genom att han på samma sätt som denne, gjort sitt bästa för att spinna på etniska motsättningar. I det här fallet genom att se ner på folken i norr. I Elfenbenskusten kompliceras läget av att det finns milis och rebellsoldater kvar i både väster och norr efter inbördeskriget 2002, som avslutades med att FN-trupper släpptes in i landet.

Här finns också hoppet om att ett krig ska gå att undvika i den mån dessa FN-trupper kan se till att mot sättningarna mellan etniska grupper inte går över till massmord på det sätt vi såg i Rwanda 1994.

De förfärande brott som då begicks är ju skolexemplet för dem som ser en aktiv krigspolitik under namnet ”humanitära interventioner”, som en attraktiv lösning för att förhindra våld.

Jag ser det resonemanget lite som när dödsstraffsförespråkare tar exempel på hur Du själv vill behandla den som dödar din son eller dotter. Du vill sannolikt hämnas. Men det betyder inte att dödsstraff är rätt metod.

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Av Henry Kasolrer - 11 januari 2011 00:45

Det behövs inte mycket fantasi för att se behovet. Tänk om du som anställd ser att den privata vårdcentralen väljer att spara pengar genom att inte remittera patienter vidare för fysiska eller psykiska undersökningar som inte kan göras på vårdcentral...

Av Henry Kasolrer - 11 januari 2011 00:44

Julhelgen blev till ännu ett misslyckande för den svenska järnvägen. Allt fler ställer sig frågan vad som gått så snett. Många skäller förstås fortfarande på SJ. Det beror i hög grad på att allmänheten inte har klart för sig vad som skett på järnväge...

Av Henry Kasolrer - 11 januari 2011 00:43

1972, när jag var ung, så föreställde sig en brittisk barnboksförfattare, Geoffrey Hoyle, att vi 2010 ”skulle gå omkring i overaller, köra elektriska bilar, använda tv-telefoner och endast arbeta tre dagar i veckan. Allt detta enligt Henrik Ber...

Av Henry Kasolrer - 11 januari 2011 00:41

Jag vet, ekonomiskt var 2009 det verkliga skitåret. Så långt hade den förre arbetsmarknadsministern Sven-Otto Littorin (M) rätt även om ordvalet inte var så vackert. Krisen på hösten 2008 gav en industrikris som följdes av en arbetslöshetskris. Reger...

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